Bournemouth 1-0 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 5 Dec 2024

Bournemouth
1-0 HT 1-0
Tottenham
📅05/12/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Bournemouth vs Tottenham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.41
No
45%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.75
2-3 Goals
40%
2.06
4-5 Goals
26%
2.65
6+ Goals
11%
6.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.08
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
31.0
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
11%
5.84
X/2
9%
7.85
X/X
9%
6.73
2/1
7%
24.3
2/2
16%
4.66
2/X
5%
14.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.0 — our 12% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
67%
-11.3pp
45%
BTTS No
33%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bournemouth v Tottenham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.32/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.72
+12% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 79%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
19.9 Crosses 19.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Bournemouth vs Tottenham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bournemouth
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tottenham
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.14 xG 1.93
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
285 Passes 436
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 35
18 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.12.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 3-1 HT 1-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
26.08.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-2 HT 0-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
15.04.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-3 HT 1-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
29.10.2022 Bournemouth Bournemouth 2-3 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
09.07.2020 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-0 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
30.11.2019 Tottenham Tottenham 3-2 HT 1-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP

Bournemouth 1-0 Tottenham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bournemouth
1-0
AWAY Tottenham
3.71 xG 0.87
35% Ball Possession 65%
21 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
174 Passes 394
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bournemouth vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bournemouth squeezed past Tottenham 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Bournemouth found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bournemouth had 35% of the ball to Tottenham's 65%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 3.71 to 0.87 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bournemouth's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bournemouth and 2.17 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Tottenham?

Bournemouth 1-0 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 40%, draw 23%, Tottenham 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bournemouth) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bournemouth) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
5 Dec 2024
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