Campobasso 1-1 Milan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.44
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.68
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.0pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.5pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Campobasso EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan II EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
0.97/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.00
-38% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Campobasso
1-1
AWAY Milan II
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Campobasso vs Milan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Campobasso and Milan II shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Campobasso at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Campobasso had 45% of the ball to Milan II's 55%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Campobasso vs Milan II?

Campobasso 1-1 Milan II in the Italy - Serie C on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Campobasso vs Milan II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Campobasso win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Campobasso 42%, draw 32%, Milan II 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Campobasso), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Campobasso) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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