Fasil Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fasil Ketema v Welwalo Adigrat Uni — Team-Based Signals
Fasil Ketema 1-0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni — Actual Match Statistics
Fasil Ketema nicked a narrow win over Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fasil Ketema as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Fasil Ketema had 53% of the ball to Welwalo Adigrat Uni's 47%, shots finished 4-7.
What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Fasil Ketema 1-0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fasil Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 50%, draw 31%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fasil Ketema), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.