La Louvière 1-2 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 5 Dec 2025

📅05/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.72
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.14
6+ Goals
7%
20.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 31% vs market 30.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
3.13
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
11%
5.0
X/2
7%
7.03
X/X
13%
4.06
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2 EV+ ✗
18%
5.35
2/X
6%
13.55
Value flag · 2/2 at 5.35 — our 18% vs market 14.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Louvière EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.27/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.86
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
31.0 Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Louvière
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Dender EH
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.89 xG 0.51
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
217 Passes 424
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2025 Dender EH Dender EH 0-0 HT 0-0 La Louvière La Louvière BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Louvière
1-2
AWAY Dender EH
2.21 xG 2.26
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
297 Passes 311
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
36 Box Touches 19
39 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH La Louvière vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH squeezed past La Louvière 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was La Louvière at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, La Louvière had 50% of the ball to Dender EH's 50%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 2.21 to 2.26.

What was the final score of La Louvière vs Dender EH?

La Louvière 1-2 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Louvière vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Louvière win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split La Louvière 43%, draw 27%, Dender EH 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (La Louvière) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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