MO Bejaia 1-2 USM El Harrach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - National Cup, 5 Dec 2025

📅05/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MO Bejaia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY USM El Harrach EU Bookmakers 30%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
1.00/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-17% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MO Bejaia
0W-1D-3L
AWAY USM El Harrach
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2021 USM El Harrach USM El Harrach 1-0 HT 0-0 MO Bejaia MO Bejaia CZYR2
25.03.2021 MO Bejaia MO Bejaia 0-0 HT 0-0 USM El Harrach USM El Harrach CZYR2
19.11.2015 USM El Harrach USM El Harrach 2-0 HT 0-0 MO Bejaia MO Bejaia CZYR
17.04.2015 MO Bejaia MO Bejaia 0-1 HT 0-0 USM El Harrach USM El Harrach CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MO Bejaia
1-2
AWAY USM El Harrach
71% Ball Possession 29%
11 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MO Bejaia vs USM El Harrach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM El Harrach edged past MO Bejaia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; USM El Harrach found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MO Bejaia had 71% of the ball to USM El Harrach's 29%, shots finished 11-4.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, USM El Harrach led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for MO Bejaia and 1.00 for USM El Harrach.

What was the final score of MO Bejaia vs USM El Harrach?

MO Bejaia 1-2 USM El Harrach in the Algeria - National Cup on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MO Bejaia vs USM El Harrach?

Before kick-off our model rated a MO Bejaia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split MO Bejaia 39%, draw 29%, USM El Harrach 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (MO Bejaia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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