Al Mesaimeer 1-1 Al Shamal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 5 Dec 2025

Al Mesaimeer
1-1 HT 0-1
Al Shamal
📅05/12/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup – 2025/2026

Al Mesaimeer vs Al Shamal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
54%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.79
2-3 Goals
42%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.67
6+ Goals
11%
6.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.79 — our 23% vs market 15.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+5.1pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.3pp
54%
Away Win
66%
-11.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Mesaimeer v Al Shamal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mesaimeer EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / –
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
237 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al Mesaimeer vs Al Shamal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mesaimeer and Al Shamal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shamal at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Al Mesaimeer vs Al Shamal?

Al Mesaimeer 1-1 Al Shamal in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mesaimeer vs Al Shamal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shamal win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Mesaimeer 21%, draw 25%, Al Shamal 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Shamal), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shamal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →