Fiorentina U19 2-2 Monza U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U19 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza U19 EU Bookmakers 24%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/2.49
-100% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina U19
2-2
AWAY Monza U19
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U19 vs Monza U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U19 and Monza U19 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina U19 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Fiorentina U19 had 63% of the ball to Monza U19's 37%, shots finished 15-10.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U19 vs Monza U19?

Fiorentina U19 2-2 Monza U19 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U19 vs Monza U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U19 48%, draw 22%, Monza U19 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fiorentina U19), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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