Adelaide United (K) 0-5 Melbourne City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 6 Jan 2024

Adelaide United (K)
0-5 HT 0-4
Melbourne City (K)
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Adelaide United (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
4.13
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
45%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
21%
+13.9pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.2pp
45%
Away Win
60%
-14.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.1pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adelaide United (K) v Melbourne City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Adelaide United (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.72 xG 1.77
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
208 Passes 444
62% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
30.11.2019 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
01.12.2018 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW

Adelaide United (K) 0-5 Melbourne City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adelaide United (K)
0-5
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
0.49 xG 4.31
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 3
245 Passes 600
76% Pass Accuracy 90%
10 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Adelaide United (K) vs Melbourne City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City (K) swept aside Adelaide United (K) 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Melbourne City (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Adelaide United (K) had 33% of the ball to Melbourne City (K)'s 67%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.49 to 4.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Melbourne City (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Adelaide United (K) and 1.00 for Melbourne City (K).

What was the final score of Adelaide United (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Adelaide United (K) 0-5 Melbourne City (K) in the Australia - W-League on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United (K) 35%, draw 20%, Melbourne City (K) 45%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
6 Jan 2024
09:00 Newcastle Jets (K) vs Canberra United (K) Analysis →
10:00 Melbourne Victory (K) vs Western United (K) Analysis →