Newcastle Jets (K) 3-3 Canberra United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 6 Jan 2024

Newcastle Jets (K)
3-3 HT 1-2
Canberra United (K)
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Newcastle Jets (K) vs Canberra United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
37%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-9.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+9.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.3pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle Jets (K) v Canberra United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Newcastle Jets (K) vs Canberra United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Canberra United (K)
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.85 xG 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
244 Passes 304
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 3-4 HT 1-2 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
30.11.2019 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 2-3 HT 2-2 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
17.11.2018 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW

Newcastle Jets (K) 3-3 Canberra United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
3-3
AWAY Canberra United (K)
2.36 xG 1.93
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
214 Passes 244
67% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newcastle Jets (K) vs Canberra United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets (K) and Canberra United (K) shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Newcastle Jets (K) had 47% of the ball to Canberra United (K)'s 53%, shots finished 20-18, expected goals 2.36 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Newcastle Jets (K) and 2.00 for Canberra United (K).

What was the final score of Newcastle Jets (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Newcastle Jets (K) 3-3 Canberra United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Jets (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets (K) 41%, draw 22%, Canberra United (K) 37%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
6 Jan 2024
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