Ergué-Gaberic 2-3 Plabennec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
40%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.1pp
35%
Draw
26%
+8.7pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ergué-Gaberic The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Plabennec The Market 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ergué-Gaberic
2-3
AWAY Plabennec
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Ergué-Gaberic vs Plabennec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plabennec squeezed past Ergué-Gaberic 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 35% / 32%) promised a tight game; Plabennec found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ergué-Gaberic had 54% of the ball to Plabennec's 46%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Ergué-Gaberic vs Plabennec?

Ergué-Gaberic 2-3 Plabennec in the France - National League 3 on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ergué-Gaberic vs Plabennec?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Ergué-Gaberic 33%, draw 35%, Plabennec 32%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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