Barry Town 4-0 Newtown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 6 Jan 2024

Barry Town
4-0 HT 2-0
Newtown
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2023/2024

Barry Town vs Newtown Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.67
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
28%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barry Town v Newtown — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barry Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Newtown EU Bookmakers 50%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +21%
0.80/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/1.24
-31% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Barry Town vs Newtown Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barry Town
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Newtown
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Newtown Newtown 2-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
04.12.2021 Newtown Newtown 2-1 HT 0-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
02.10.2021 Barry Town Barry Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Newtown Newtown GAL
21.11.2020 Barry Town Barry Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
10.10.2020 Newtown Newtown 1-1 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
30.11.2019 Barry Town Barry Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Newtown Newtown GAL

Barry Town 4-0 Newtown — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barry Town
4-0
AWAY Newtown
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Barry Town vs Newtown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town ran out comfortable winners over Newtown 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Newtown at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Barry Town had 52% of the ball to Newtown's 48%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newtown led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Barry Town and 1.50 for Newtown.

What was the final score of Barry Town vs Newtown?

Barry Town 4-0 Newtown in the Wales - Premier League on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barry Town vs Newtown?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newtown win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Barry Town 30%, draw 29%, Newtown 41%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Newtown) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newtown) ✓ Over 2.5
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6 Jan 2024
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