Bombada 0-1 BST Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gambiya - GFA League, 6 Jan 2024

Bombada
0-1 HT 0-1
BST Galaxy
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Gambiya - GFA League – 2023/2024

Bombada vs BST Galaxy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.27
Draw
28%
5.71
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
45%
4-5
22%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
29%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Bombada win — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
58%
Home Win
74%
-16.7pp
28%
Draw
15%
+13.0pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bombada v BST Galaxy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bombada The Market 79%
Head to Head
AWAY BST Galaxy The Market 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
500 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Bombada vs BST Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BST Galaxy edged past Bombada 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bombada at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Bombada vs BST Galaxy?

Bombada 0-1 BST Galaxy in the Gambiya - GFA League on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bombada vs BST Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bombada win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bombada 58%, draw 28%, BST Galaxy 15%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Bombada), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bombada) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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