Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-1 Nojima Stella (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.72
Draw
38%
3.64
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
14%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
55%
-11.8pp
38%
Draw
25%
+12.9pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-1.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) nicked a narrow win over Nojima Stella (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (43% / 38% / 19%) promised a tight game; Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-1 Nojima Stella (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 43%, draw 38%, Nojima Stella (K) 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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