Dungannon Swifts 5-0 Willowbank — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Willowbank EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+1% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Willowbank
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts swept aside Willowbank 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dungannon Swifts as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Willowbank?

Dungannon Swifts 5-0 Willowbank in the North Ireland - Cup on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Willowbank?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 48%, draw 23%, Willowbank 29%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dungannon Swifts), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✓ BTTS No
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