AEL Limassol 1-3 Apollon Limassol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Cyprus Rum Kesimi - 1st Division, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
Over
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
36%
4-5
17%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEL Limassol The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Apollon Limassol The Market 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEL Limassol
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Apollon Limassol
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
24.09.2023 Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol 2-0 HT 0-0 AEL Limassol AEL Limassol KRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEL Limassol
1-3
AWAY Apollon Limassol
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH AEL Limassol vs Apollon Limassol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Apollon Limassol beat AEL Limassol 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Apollon Limassol found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AEL Limassol had 48% of the ball to Apollon Limassol's 52%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of AEL Limassol vs Apollon Limassol?

AEL Limassol 1-3 Apollon Limassol in the Cyprus Rum Kesimi - 1st Division on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEL Limassol vs Apollon Limassol?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEL Limassol win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split AEL Limassol 39%, draw 29%, Apollon Limassol 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AEL Limassol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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