Pieta Hotspurs 1-0 Luqa St. Andrews — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - 1st Division, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
No
68%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.9pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.7pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pieta Hotspurs EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Luqa St. Andrews EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Pieta Hotspurs vs Luqa St. Andrews
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pieta Hotspurs edged past Luqa St. Andrews 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Luqa St. Andrews at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (68%) came in.

What was the final score of Pieta Hotspurs vs Luqa St. Andrews?

Pieta Hotspurs 1-0 Luqa St. Andrews in the Malta - 1st Division on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pieta Hotspurs vs Luqa St. Andrews?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luqa St. Andrews win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pieta Hotspurs 36%, draw 22%, Luqa St. Andrews 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Luqa St. Andrews) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luqa St. Andrews) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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