06/01/2024
·
20:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Faetano vs Fiorentino Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
43%
4-5
20%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
21%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
29%
Home Win
34%
28%
Draw
27%
43%
Away Win
39%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Faetano v Fiorentino — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Faetano
The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Fiorentino
The Market 43%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
44%
Ball Possession
56%
10
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
6
240 · 69%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
364 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Faetano vs Fiorentino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Fiorentino squeezed past Faetano 1-0 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fiorentino as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
What was the final score of Faetano vs Fiorentino?
Faetano 0-1 Fiorentino in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Faetano vs Fiorentino?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentino win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Faetano 29%, draw 28%, Fiorentino 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Fiorentino)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
SANM
More San Marino - Şampiyona
6 Jan 2024