06/01/2024
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Niarry Tally vs Keur Madior Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
45%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
6%
X/X
21%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
46%
Home Win
62%
32%
Draw
25%
23%
Away Win
13%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Niarry Tally v Keur Madior — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Niarry Tally
The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY
Keur Madior
The Market 16%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
10
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
418 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
338 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Niarry Tally vs Keur Madior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Keur Madior squeezed past Niarry Tally 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Niarry Tally at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Niarry Tally vs Keur Madior?
Niarry Tally 0-1 Keur Madior in the Senegal - 2nd Division on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Niarry Tally vs Keur Madior?
Before kick-off our model rated a Niarry Tally win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Niarry Tally 46%, draw 32%, Keur Madior 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Niarry Tally) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Niarry Tally)
✓ Under 2.5
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