Swansea City U21 4-1 Colchester United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 6 Jan 2025

📅06/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.32
No
52%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+3.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
72%
-23.3pp
52%
BTTS No
28%
+23.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City U21 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Colchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 33%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.17/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.05
-42% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City U21
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Colchester United U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.01.2024 Colchester United U21 Colchester United U21 1-2 HT 1-1 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 INGPDL
01.12.2023 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 4-1 HT 3-0 Colchester United U21 Colchester United U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Swansea City U21 vs Colchester United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City U21 cruised past Colchester United U21 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Swansea City U21 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Swansea City U21 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Swansea City U21 and 1.00 for Colchester United U21.

What was the final score of Swansea City U21 vs Colchester United U21?

Swansea City U21 4-1 Colchester United U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 06/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City U21 vs Colchester United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Swansea City U21 51%, draw 22%, Colchester United U21 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swansea City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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