Gil Vicente 1-1 Rio Ave — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 6 Jan 2025

Gil Vicente
1-1 HT 1-0
Rio Ave
📅06/01/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.89
6+ Goals
10%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 31% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.94
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
14%
4.72
X/2
7%
7.32
X/X
16%
4.11
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
13%
5.53
2/X
5%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gil Vicente v Rio Ave — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -16%
1.38/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.51
+11% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.0 Crosses 16.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rio Ave
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.04 xG 1.55
52% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
367 Passes 364
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Rio Ave Rio Ave 3-0 HT 2-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
12.11.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-1 HT 0-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
12.03.2023 Rio Ave Rio Ave 2-1 HT 2-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
17.09.2022 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 2-2 HT 0-1 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
03.04.2021 Rio Ave Rio Ave 0-2 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
29.11.2020 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 2-0 HT 1-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR

Gil Vicente 1-1 Rio Ave — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente
1-1
AWAY Rio Ave
1.93 xG 0.78
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
467 Passes 329
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Gil Vicente and Rio Ave shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Portugal - Premier League on 6 Jan 2025. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Gil Vicente had 57% of the ball to Rio Ave's 43%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.93 to 0.78.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gil Vicente and 1.33 for Rio Ave.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave?

Gil Vicente 1-1 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 06/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 43%, draw 29%, Rio Ave 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gil Vicente), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gil Vicente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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