Al Najma 3-0 Abha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 6 Jan 2025

📅06/01/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.4pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Abha EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.61/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.04
+21% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Abha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma ran out comfortable winners over Abha 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Najma as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Abha?

Al Najma 3-0 Abha in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 06/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Abha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 44%, draw 26%, Abha 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najma), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Najma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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