Suudi Arabistan U23 1-0 Kırgızistan U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 6 Jan 2026

📅06/01/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.28
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
74%
-5.6pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.5pp
13%
Away Win
9%
+4.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suudi Arabistan U23 EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Kırgızistan U23 EU Bookmakers 11%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +92% / +92%
4.08/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+56% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
449 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.9 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suudi Arabistan U23
1-0
AWAY Kırgızistan U23
1.80 xG 0.31
75% Ball Possession 25%
23 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
529 Passes 122
87% Pass Accuracy 59%
47 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 5
POST-MATCH Suudi Arabistan U23 vs Kırgızistan U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suudi Arabistan U23 edged past Kırgızistan U23 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Suudi Arabistan U23 as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Suudi Arabistan U23 had 75% of the ball to Kırgızistan U23's 25%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.80 to 0.31 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Suudi Arabistan U23's control.

What was the final score of Suudi Arabistan U23 vs Kırgızistan U23?

Suudi Arabistan U23 1-0 Kırgızistan U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 06/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suudi Arabistan U23 vs Kırgızistan U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suudi Arabistan U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Suudi Arabistan U23 69%, draw 18%, Kırgızistan U23 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suudi Arabistan U23), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suudi Arabistan U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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