Peterborough Sports 1-1 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Feb 2024

📅06/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.93
6+ Goals
9%
18.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester EU Bookmakers 49%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
0.97/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.96
-23% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough Sports
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Chester
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Chester Chester 3-2 HT 1-2 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
14.03.2023 Chester Chester 0-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
20.08.2022 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 3-2 HT 1-1 Chester Chester İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough Sports
1-1
AWAY Chester
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Peterborough Sports vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough Sports and Chester shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Chester at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Peterborough Sports had 49% of the ball to Chester's 51%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Peterborough Sports had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Peterborough Sports and 1.67 for Chester.

What was the final score of Peterborough Sports vs Chester?

Peterborough Sports 1-1 Chester in the England - Conference on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough Sports vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Peterborough Sports 29%, draw 30%, Chester 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chester) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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