Picerno 1-0 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Feb 2024

📅06/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.51
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.6pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.47/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.46
+10% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Catania
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2023 Catania Catania 3-2 HT 2-0 Picerno Picerno İTCK
17.09.2023 Catania Catania 2-0 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
12.02.2022 Catania Catania 0-1 HT 0-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
04.10.2021 Picerno Picerno 0-1 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
26.02.2020 Picerno Picerno 1-2 HT 1-2 Catania Catania İTC
13.10.2019 Catania Catania 1-0 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
1-0
AWAY Catania
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Picerno vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Picerno squeezed past Catania 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Picerno as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Picerno had 43% of the ball to Catania's 57%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Catania led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Picerno and 1.50 for Catania.

What was the final score of Picerno vs Catania?

Picerno 1-0 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated a Picerno win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Picerno 42%, draw 28%, Catania 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Picerno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Picerno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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