HK Kopavogur 2-3 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 6 Feb 2024

📅06/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.71
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
49%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.89
Over 2.5
54%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+7.0pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.6pp
49%
Away Win
62%
-13.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
31%
+15.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
69%
-15.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.2pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 67%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.91/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.31/2.41
-49% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -53%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HK Kopavogur
1W-3D-2L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.92 xG 1.27
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
298 Passes 382
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.07.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-1 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
03.05.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-1 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
18.02.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 6-1 HT 2-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZLK
16.08.2021 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 0-1 HT 0-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
25.05.2021 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-1 HT 1-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
04.10.2020 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-1 HT 0-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HK Kopavogur
2-3
AWAY KR Reykjavik
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH HK Kopavogur vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik squeezed past HK Kopavogur 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had KR Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, HK Kopavogur had 37% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 63%, shots finished 6-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for HK Kopavogur and 1.67 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of HK Kopavogur vs KR Reykjavik?

HK Kopavogur 2-3 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - League Cup on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HK Kopavogur vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split HK Kopavogur 25%, draw 26%, KR Reykjavik 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KR Reykjavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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