1860 München 2-0 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 6 Feb 2024

📅06/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.18
6+ Goals
13%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.98
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
13%
4.9
X/2
7%
6.44
X/X
15%
4.92
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
24.15
2/2
16%
4.36
2/X
6%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.15 — our 12% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1860 München EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.73/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.35
+11% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.4 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1860 München
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-2 HT 1-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
14.11.2022 1860 München 1860 München 1-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
01.04.2007 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-2 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL2
03.11.2006 1860 München 1860 München 2-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL2
01.05.2005 1860 München 1860 München 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL2
24.11.2004 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-0 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1860 München
2-0
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH 1860 München vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1860 München beat Rot-Weiss Essen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had 1860 München as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, 1860 München had 37% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 63%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, 1860 München had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for 1860 München and 0.50 for Rot-Weiss Essen.

What was the final score of 1860 München vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

1860 München 2-0 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1860 München vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated a 1860 München win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split 1860 München 44%, draw 26%, Rot-Weiss Essen 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (1860 München) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (1860 München) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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