Greifswalder SV 1-2 Altglienicke — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Feb 2024

📅06/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.2pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Altglienicke EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +18%
1.78/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.85
+4% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +89%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
327 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greifswalder SV
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Altglienicke
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2023 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-2 HT 1-2 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
25.11.2022 Altglienicke Altglienicke 2-3 HT 1-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs Altglienicke
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altglienicke edged past Greifswalder SV 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Greifswalder SV at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Greifswalder SV and 2.00 for Altglienicke.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs Altglienicke?

Greifswalder SV 1-2 Altglienicke in the Germany - Regional League on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs Altglienicke?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 47%, draw 27%, Altglienicke 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greifswalder SV), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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