Wellington Phoenix 0-0 Central Coast Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 6 Feb 2024

Wellington Phoenix
0-0 HT 0-0
Central Coast Mariners
📅06/02/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.9
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 28% vs market 20.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.21
1/2
7%
24.3
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
11%
6.32
X/2
15%
5.02
X/X
10%
5.06
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
22%
3.06
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wellington Phoenix v Central Coast Mariners — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Phoenix EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 45%
+18% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +24%
1.56/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.59
+9% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +50%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
16.2 Crosses 12.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Phoenix
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.34 xG 1.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
393 Passes 401
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.02.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-1 HT 1-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
22.01.2023 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 2-1 HT 2-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
16.10.2022 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 2-2 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
17.04.2022 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 0-4 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
05.04.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 5-0 HT 2-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
27.11.2021 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 2-1 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS

Wellington Phoenix 0-0 Central Coast Mariners — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Phoenix
0-0
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
0.25 xG 0.45
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
563 Passes 427
89% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Phoenix and Central Coast Mariners fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Central Coast Mariners at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Wellington Phoenix had 57% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners's 43%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.25 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wellington Phoenix and 2.33 for Central Coast Mariners.

What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners?

Wellington Phoenix 0-0 Central Coast Mariners in the Australia - A-League on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central Coast Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix 32%, draw 25%, Central Coast Mariners 44%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners) ✗ BTTS Yes
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