Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 Club Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 6 Feb 2024

📅06/02/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
0.93/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.88
-21% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
233 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Club Olimpia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
21.09.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 4-0 HT 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
30.05.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-3 HT 1-2 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
26.03.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-2 HT 1-1 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
26.01.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PARSK
09.10.2022 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-2 HT 0-2 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
2-1
AWAY Club Olimpia
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano squeezed past Club Olimpia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and on the day Sportivo Ameliano made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 34% of the ball to Club Olimpia's 66%, shots finished 6-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 1.50 for Club Olimpia.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Olimpia?

Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 Club Olimpia in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 06/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Club Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 32%, draw 31%, Club Olimpia 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club Olimpia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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