UMF Selfoss 5-5 Leiknir Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 6 Feb 2025

UMF Selfoss
5-5
Leiknir Reykjavik
📅06/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Iceland - League Cup – 2025

UMF Selfoss vs Leiknir Reykjavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.32
No
32%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.0pp
68%
BTTS Yes
72%
-4.0pp
32%
BTTS No
28%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UMF Selfoss v Leiknir Reykjavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UMF Selfoss EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 43%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.94/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.41
-42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +39%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

UMF Selfoss vs Leiknir Reykjavik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UMF Selfoss
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.07.2023 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 2-4 HT 1-1 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
12.05.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 2-3 HT 1-1 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
19.04.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZK
17.02.2023 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 1-0 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZLK
30.08.2018 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 1-2 HT 0-1 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
21.03.2015 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 2-1 HT 1-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZLK
POST-MATCH UMF Selfoss vs Leiknir Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UMF Selfoss and Leiknir Reykjavik shared the points in a 5-5 draw. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (68%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leiknir Reykjavik led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UMF Selfoss and 1.83 for Leiknir Reykjavik.

What was the final score of UMF Selfoss vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

UMF Selfoss 5-5 Leiknir Reykjavik in the Iceland - League Cup on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UMF Selfoss vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leiknir Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split UMF Selfoss 36%, draw 23%, Leiknir Reykjavik 40%. The final score 5-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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