Atletico Aldosivi 1-3 Barracas Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 6 Feb 2025

📅06/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.41
Over 2.5
32%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.29
No
66%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
6.31
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.52
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
15%
4.68
X/2
13%
6.24
X/X
15%
3.27
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
5.42
2/X
6%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
67%
+0.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
33%
-0.5pp
34%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.9pp
66%
BTTS No
60%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.03/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.30
-7% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 71%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
18.6 Crosses 14.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Aldosivi
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Barracas Central
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.53 xG 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
282 Passes 239
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
15 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2022 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 2-0 HT 0-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
05.03.2022 Barracas Central Barracas Central 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Aldosivi
1-3
AWAY Barracas Central
0.83 xG 0.54
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
427 Passes 159
80% Pass Accuracy 62%
20 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Aldosivi vs Barracas Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barracas Central got the better of Atletico Aldosivi 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Barracas Central found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Aldosivi had 68% of the ball to Barracas Central's 32%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 0.83 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Aldosivi and 1.00 for Barracas Central.

What was the final score of Atletico Aldosivi vs Barracas Central?

Atletico Aldosivi 1-3 Barracas Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Aldosivi vs Barracas Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Aldosivi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atletico Aldosivi 38%, draw 28%, Barracas Central 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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