Forge 0-2 Monterrey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 6 Feb 2025

📅06/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.09
Draw
32%
3.94
Away
41%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
2.07
Over
38%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.66
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
18%
3.01
6+
7%
9.89
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.66 — our 29% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
27%
Home Win
16%
+10.5pp
32%
Draw
22%
+9.6pp
41%
Away Win
61%
-20.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
44%
+17.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
56%
-17.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forge The Market 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterrey The Market 66%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.81/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/0.46
-29% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -95% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
234 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
11.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
10.0 Crosses 27.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forge
0-2
AWAY Monterrey
0.66 xG 0.98
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
385 Passes 336
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Forge vs Monterrey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey beat Forge 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Forge had 53% of the ball to Monterrey's 47%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.66 to 0.98.

What was the final score of Forge vs Monterrey?

Forge 0-2 Monterrey in the CONCACAF Champions League on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forge vs Monterrey?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Forge 27%, draw 32%, Monterrey 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monterrey) ✓ Under 2.5
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