Bourj 0-4 Safa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 6 Feb 2025

Bourj
0-4 HT 0-2
Safa
📅06/02/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Lebanon - Premier League – 2024/2025

Bourj vs Safa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
19%
3.18
Away
55%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.16
No
64%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
3%
X/2
30%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.4pp
19%
Draw
28%
-9.2pp
56%
Away Win
49%
+6.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.2pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bourj v Safa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourj EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Safa EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Bourj vs Safa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Safa ran out comfortable winners over Bourj 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Safa as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

What was the final score of Bourj vs Safa?

Bourj 0-4 Safa in the Lebanon - Premier League on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourj vs Safa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Bourj 26%, draw 19%, Safa 56%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Safa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Safa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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