Zurrieq 0-4 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 6 Feb 2025

📅06/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
45%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+7.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
45%
Away Win
54%
-9.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.7pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zurrieq EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zurrieq
0-4
AWAY Naxxar Lions
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Zurrieq vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxxar Lions swept aside Zurrieq 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Naxxar Lions as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zurrieq had 35% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 65%, shots finished 4-14.

What was the final score of Zurrieq vs Naxxar Lions?

Zurrieq 0-4 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - FA Cup on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zurrieq vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naxxar Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Zurrieq 29%, draw 25%, Naxxar Lions 45%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naxxar Lions), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naxxar Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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