Al Ahly 2-1 Petrojet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 6 Feb 2025

📅06/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.44
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.14
6+ Goals
7%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 27% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
67%
-15.0pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.5pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrojet EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.75/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.95
+21% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +79%
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
441 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
17.9 Crosses 16.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Petrojet
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.58 xG 0.94
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
570 Passes 145
88% Pass Accuracy 66%
21 Box Touches 7
15 Crosses 9
02.07.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-0 HT 1-0 Petrojet Petrojet MSRK
20.01.2015 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-1 HT 1-0 Petrojet Petrojet MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
2-1
AWAY Petrojet
1.97 xG 0.96
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
442 Passes 226
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Petrojet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly nicked a narrow win over Petrojet 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Ahly had 61% of the ball to Petrojet's 39%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.97 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ahly and 0.50 for Petrojet.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Petrojet?

Al Ahly 2-1 Petrojet in the Egypt - Premier League on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Petrojet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 52%, draw 27%, Petrojet 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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