06/02/2025
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Al Nasar vs Al Shabab Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
31%
Draw
26%
22%
Away Win
26%
61%
Under 2.5
51%
39%
Over 2.5
49%
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
54%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Nasar v Al Shabab Riyadh — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Nasar
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Shabab Riyadh
EU Bookmakers 30%
+34% /
+34%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-16% /
-16%
2.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.60/1.00
+59%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-16%
/
+40%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
356 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
324 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
Al Nasar vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Shabab Riyadh nicked a narrow win over Al Nasar 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Al Nasar at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
What was the final score of Al Nasar vs Al Shabab Riyadh?
Al Nasar 0-1 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Oman - Sultan Cup on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Nasar vs Al Shabab Riyadh?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Nasar 46%, draw 31%, Al Shabab Riyadh 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Nasar) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Nasar)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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UMMSK
More Oman - Sultan Cup
6 Feb 2025