Gosport Borough 1-2 Poole Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Mar 2024

Gosport Borough
1-2 HT 0-1
Poole Town
📅06/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Gosport Borough vs Poole Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.21
Over
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
31%
4-5
30%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.1pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.7pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.2pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gosport Borough v Poole Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gosport Borough EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Poole Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+19% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.94/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.82
+17% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Gosport Borough vs Poole Town Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gosport Borough
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Poole Town
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.09.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
04.02.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
28.09.2022 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 1-2 HT 0-1 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
15.01.2022 Poole Town Poole Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
14.08.2021 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 4-3 HT 2-1 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Gosport Borough vs Poole Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Poole Town nicked a narrow win over Gosport Borough 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gosport Borough at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Poole Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Gosport Borough and 2.00 for Poole Town.

What was the final score of Gosport Borough vs Poole Town?

Gosport Borough 1-2 Poole Town in the England - Non League Premier on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gosport Borough vs Poole Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gosport Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gosport Borough 42%, draw 30%, Poole Town 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gosport Borough) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gosport Borough) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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