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Arsenal (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal (K) v Aston Villa (K) — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal (K) 4-0 Aston Villa (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal (K) cruised past Aston Villa (K) 4-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (67%) missed.
On the day, Arsenal (K) had 59% of the ball to Aston Villa (K)'s 41%, shots finished 18-2.
What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?
Arsenal (K) 4-0 Aston Villa (K) in the England - Women's League Cup on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 45%, draw 25%, Aston Villa (K) 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.