Pinerolo 3-2 Borgosesia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2-3
37%
4-5
16%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.0pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pinerolo The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Borgosesia The Market 40%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-20% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pinerolo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Borgosesia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
22.10.2023 Borgosesia Borgosesia 0-0 HT 0-0 Pinerolo İTD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pinerolo
3-2
AWAY Borgosesia
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Pinerolo vs Borgosesia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pinerolo squeezed past Borgosesia 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Pinerolo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pinerolo had 45% of the ball to Borgosesia's 55%, shots finished 13-18.

What was the final score of Pinerolo vs Borgosesia?

Pinerolo 3-2 Borgosesia in the Italy - Serie D on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pinerolo vs Borgosesia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Borgosesia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pinerolo 33%, draw 28%, Borgosesia 39%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Borgosesia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İTD More Italy - Serie D
6 Mar 2024
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