Abdish 5-0 Taichung Futuro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.22
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.63
Over 2.5
57%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.1
2-3 Goals
37%
2.08
4-5 Goals
29%
2.56
6+ Goals
15%
5.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.45
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
3%
24.45
X/1 EV+ ✗
28%
3.48
X/2
4%
21.2
X/X
9%
8.96
2/1
3%
21.35
2/2
4%
15.65
2/X
6%
23.6
Value flag · X/1 at 3.48 — our 28% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
77%
-7.2pp
18%
Draw
14%
+3.4pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
34%
+8.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
66%
-8.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abdish EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Taichung Futuro EU Bookmakers 11%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-70% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
468 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Abdish
5-0
AWAY Taichung Futuro
3.26 xG 0.16
74% Ball Possession 26%
26 Total Shots 4
12 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
661 Passes 164
87% Pass Accuracy 63%
58 Box Touches 7
32 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Abdish vs Taichung Futuro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abdish swept aside Taichung Futuro 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Abdish as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Abdish had 74% of the ball to Taichung Futuro's 26%, shots finished 26-4, expected goals 3.26 to 0.16.

What was the final score of Abdish vs Taichung Futuro?

Abdish 5-0 Taichung Futuro in the AFCŞL2 on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abdish vs Taichung Futuro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Abdish win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Abdish 70%, draw 18%, Taichung Futuro 12%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Abdish), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Abdish) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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