Viktoria Berlin 1-0 Chemie Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.9
No
42%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.3pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.3pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+9.5pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Berlin EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -22%
1.94/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.29
+13% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Berlin
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
14.04.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
29.10.2022 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 0-2 HT 0-1 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
26.09.2020 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 3-2 HT 1-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
13.12.2019 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 1-0 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Berlin
1-0
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Viktoria Berlin vs Chemie Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Berlin nicked a narrow win over Chemie Leipzig 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Viktoria Berlin as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Viktoria Berlin had 52% of the ball to Chemie Leipzig's 48%, shots finished 15-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Viktoria Berlin and 1.20 for Chemie Leipzig.

What was the final score of Viktoria Berlin vs Chemie Leipzig?

Viktoria Berlin 1-0 Chemie Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Berlin vs Chemie Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Berlin 44%, draw 32%, Chemie Leipzig 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Berlin) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Berlin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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