BATE Borisov 0-1 Dinamo Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.61
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 35% vs market 32.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
28%
+9.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
44%
-10.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
244 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BATE Borisov
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Dinamo Minsk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2023 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 0-1 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
15.04.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-3 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
10.09.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
02.05.2022 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-2 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
06.11.2021 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
19.06.2021 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 0-2 HT 0-1 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BATE Borisov
0-1
AWAY Dinamo Minsk
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BATE Borisov vs Dinamo Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Minsk edged past BATE Borisov 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Dinamo Minsk found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, BATE Borisov had 48% of the ball to Dinamo Minsk's 52%, shots finished 5-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BATE Borisov had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for BATE Borisov and 1.00 for Dinamo Minsk.

What was the final score of BATE Borisov vs Dinamo Minsk?

BATE Borisov 0-1 Dinamo Minsk in the Belarus - Cup on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BATE Borisov vs Dinamo Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a BATE Borisov win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split BATE Borisov 37%, draw 30%, Dinamo Minsk 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (BATE Borisov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BATE Borisov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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