Siroki Brijeg 2-1 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.99
Draw
37%
2.94
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
22%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-5.0pp
37%
Draw
31%
+6.8pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siroki Brijeg EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 43%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+3% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
217 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siroki Brijeg
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Velez Mostar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 2-2 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
20.08.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-1 HT 0-1 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
26.04.2023 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
12.11.2022 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 4-4 HT 3-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
27.08.2022 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 0-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
01.04.2022 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Siroki Brijeg
2-1
AWAY Velez Mostar
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Siroki Brijeg vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siroki Brijeg nicked a narrow win over Velez Mostar 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 25% / 37% / 38% — and on the day Siroki Brijeg made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Siroki Brijeg had 42% of the ball to Velez Mostar's 58%, shots finished 4-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Siroki Brijeg and 1.33 for Velez Mostar.

What was the final score of Siroki Brijeg vs Velez Mostar?

Siroki Brijeg 2-1 Velez Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Cup on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siroki Brijeg vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Siroki Brijeg 25%, draw 37%, Velez Mostar 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →