Philadelphia Union 0-0 Pachuca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 29% vs market 20.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.1pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pachuca EU Bookmakers 30%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.51
-40% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
17.0 Crosses 18.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Philadelphia Union
0-0
AWAY Pachuca
0.61 xG 1.09
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
357 Passes 347
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Philadelphia Union vs Pachuca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union and Pachuca fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Philadelphia Union at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Philadelphia Union had 51% of the ball to Pachuca's 49%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.61 to 1.09.

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Pachuca?

Philadelphia Union 0-0 Pachuca in the CONCACAF Champions League on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Pachuca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 47%, draw 24%, Pachuca 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Philadelphia Union) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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