Isidro Metapan 0-1 Santa Tecla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.7pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Tecla EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.28/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.43
-16% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isidro Metapan
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Santa Tecla
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 2-3 HT 2-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
20.08.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-0 HT 0-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
01.05.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
05.03.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 4-2 HT 2-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
16.10.2022 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 4-1 HT 1-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
17.07.2022 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 1-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
POST-MATCH Isidro Metapan vs Santa Tecla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Tecla squeezed past Isidro Metapan 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Isidro Metapan at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Tecla led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Isidro Metapan and 2.00 for Santa Tecla.

What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs Santa Tecla?

Isidro Metapan 0-1 Santa Tecla in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs Santa Tecla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 51%, draw 26%, Santa Tecla 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Isidro Metapan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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