Madura United 3-2 Persita Tangerang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.66
No
59%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-8.6pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.2pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
56%
-15.2pp
59%
BTTS No
44%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madura United EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Persita Tangerang EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.69/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.93
-9% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madura United
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Persita Tangerang
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
216 Passes 377
01.09.2023 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 1-3 HT 1-2 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
15.02.2023 Madura United Madura United 1-1 HT 0-0 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
02.09.2022 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 0-1 HT 0-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
24.02.2022 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang 1-1 HT 0-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
06.11.2021 Madura United Madura United 1-2 HT 1-0 Persita Tangerang Persita Tangerang ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madura United
3-2
AWAY Persita Tangerang
53% Ball Possession 47%
3 Total Shots 8
6 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Madura United vs Persita Tangerang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madura United squeezed past Persita Tangerang 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Madura United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Madura United had 53% of the ball to Persita Tangerang's 47%, shots finished 3-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Madura United had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Madura United and 1.00 for Persita Tangerang.

What was the final score of Madura United vs Persita Tangerang?

Madura United 3-2 Persita Tangerang in the Indonesia League 1 on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madura United vs Persita Tangerang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madura United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Madura United 49%, draw 27%, Persita Tangerang 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Madura United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Madura United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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