FC Goa vs East Bengal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Goa v East Bengal — Team-Based Signals
FC Goa vs East Bengal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FC Goa 1-0 East Bengal — Actual Match Statistics
FC Goa nicked a narrow win over East Bengal 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Goa as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, FC Goa had 58% of the ball to East Bengal's 42%, shots finished 27-12, expected goals 2.78 to 0.66 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FC Goa's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Goa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Goa and 1.67 for East Bengal.
What was the final score of FC Goa vs East Bengal?
FC Goa 1-0 East Bengal in the India - Super League on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Goa vs East Bengal?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 57%, draw 20%, East Bengal 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Goa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.