Eastern 1-0 North District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY North District EU Bookmakers 23%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.09/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/5.00
-50% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -60%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern
1-0
AWAY North District
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eastern vs North District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern nicked a narrow win over North District 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eastern as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Eastern had 57% of the ball to North District's 43%, shots finished 10-6.

What was the final score of Eastern vs North District?

Eastern 1-0 North District in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern vs North District?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastern win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Eastern 52%, draw 26%, North District 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastern) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eastern) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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