Al Gharafa 2-2 Al Sadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
55%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.17
Over 2.5
67%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.43
No
38%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
8.29
2-3 Goals
36%
2.34
4-5 Goals
29%
2.38
6+ Goals
20%
4.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+4.5pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.1pp
55%
Away Win
64%
-9.6pp
33%
Under 2.5
28%
+4.8pp
67%
Over 2.5
72%
-4.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
66%
-3.5pp
38%
BTTS No
34%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 69%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.60/2.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.04
+30% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -9%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
235 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 82%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
11.0 Crosses 14.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Gharafa
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Sadd
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.83
0.70 xG 2.08
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
292 Passes 398
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
15.02.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
23.08.2022 Al Sadd Al Sadd 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
05.02.2022 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 1-5 HT 0-2 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
17.10.2021 Al Sadd Al Sadd 6-4 HT 4-3 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
13.12.2020 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-1 HT 1-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Gharafa
2-2
AWAY Al Sadd
0.76 xG 1.23
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
254 Passes 405
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Gharafa vs Al Sadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Gharafa and Al Sadd shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Al Sadd carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Gharafa had 42% of the ball to Al Sadd's 58%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 0.76 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Gharafa and 3.83 for Al Sadd.

What was the final score of Al Gharafa vs Al Sadd?

Al Gharafa 2-2 Al Sadd in the Qatar League on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Gharafa vs Al Sadd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 21%, draw 24%, Al Sadd 55%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Sadd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAT More Qatar League
6 Mar 2024
18:00 Qatar SC vs Al Arabi Analysis →
20:00 Al Rayyan vs Al Wakrah Analysis →