Envigado 1-0 Orsomarso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.47
Draw
40%
3.8
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.71
Over 2.5
30%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
26%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
63%
-23.6pp
40%
Draw
23%
+17.7pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.8pp
70%
Under 2.5
55%
+14.9pp
30%
Over 2.5
45%
-14.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.7pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Orsomarso EU Bookmakers 17%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.02/0.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.41
-35% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Orsomarso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Envigado nicked a narrow win over Orsomarso 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 40% / 20% — and on the day Envigado made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Orsomarso?

Envigado 1-0 Orsomarso in the Colombia - Cup on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Orsomarso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Envigado win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Envigado 40%, draw 40%, Orsomarso 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/40/20) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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